NFL Thanksgiving schedule, expert picks, odds and predictions for all three games

Thanksgiving this year gives us a triple header with three good matchups. The Bills play the Lions in the first game of the day, and it will be the Bills’ second straight game in Detroit after the blizzard forced their Week 11 game to Detroit. The Bills favored more than a touchdown.

The second game features an NFC East battle between the Giants and Cowboys. Dallas prefers more than a touchdown at home. The Giants reached their low point of the season on Sunday when they lost at home to the Detroit Lions. The Cowboys had arguably their best win of the season in a 40-3 blowout of the Minnesota Vikings. Ezekiel Elliott also returned to the lineup and scored two touchdowns, while Tony Pollard had 180 yards from scrimmage and two touchdowns.

Minnesota hosts the Patriots in the final game on Thanksgiving and is a field goal favorite. The Vikings are 8-2 and have the second best record in the NFC, but they can’t feel good after being blown away by the Cowboys. The Patriots defeated the Jets on a last minute punt return touchdown in one of the ugliest games of the 2022 NFL season to date.

2022 NFL Thanksgiving Schedule

  • Bills at Lions — 12:30 p.m. ET on CBS
  • Giants at Cowboys – 4:30pm ET on FOX
  • Patriots at Vikings – 8:20 p.m. ET on NBC

All odds are updated live. There are no teams on bye this week.

Buffalo Bills at Detroit Lions

After playing “home team” in Detroit for the past week, the Bills will be back at Ford Field on Thanksgiving to pay a visit to the Lions. Buffalo will try to win its second consecutive game and get back on track in the AFC playoff race and is a touchdown favorite against the Lions.

Kickoff is set for Thursday at 12:30pm ET from Detroit. The game will air on CBS.

If you’re a Bills fan, there was a lot to like about Buffalo’s performance on Sunday as they snapped their two-game losing streak. Josh Allen eliminated the turnovers from his game that held the team back in recent weeks while running a poor defense to roll the Browns run to 171 yards, a 5.2 yard-per-carry average, and a touchdown. Both Devin Singletary and James Cook were victorious in the 80 metres.

The only things that have held the Bills back this season are Allen’s occasional turnover problem and a lack of production from their running backs. If they get those two things under control, or at least limit Allen’s turnovers, they’ll be one of the toughest outs in the AFC playoffs.

They are still battling for first place in the AFC East and their remaining schedule is lined up for a frenetic finish in the division. Four of their remaining seven games come against AFC East foes (including both games against New England) and a potential showdown with Miami in first place. With Cincinnati still on the schedule as well, it’s going to be a rough run the rest of the way, making games like Detroit the kind of games you can’t slip into.

But don’t sleep on the Lions or think this will be a walkover game.

Dan Campbell has his team playing football with courage, with three consecutive wins over Green Bay, Chicago, and a convincing victory over the New York Giants on the road on Sunday. They’ve played against a lot of really good teams this season, losing some tough one-score games to Philadelphia, Minnesota, Seattle and Miami. Each of those four games was decided by four points or less.

It is also a very short and hectic week for Buffalo. After going through everything to get to Detroit for the rescheduled game, the Bills chose not to stay in Detroit. They returned to Buffalo for a few nights before returning to Detroit for an early Thursday afternoon game. Road crews already have a scheduling disadvantage on the short week, adding to that.

New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys

It’s going to be a classic NFC East rivalry game on Thanksgiving as the surprise New York Giants (7-3) travel to Dallas to take on the Cowboys (7-3). While the Giants and Cowboys have the same record, the Cowboys have a +84 point difference, while the Giants have only outscored their opponents by one point.

Kickoff is scheduled for Thursday at 4:25 p.m. ET. FOX will broadcast the game.

Dallas has won three of four games since Dak Prescott returned to the lineup, but all four have been against NFC North opponents. The lone loss came in Green Bay in overtime after the Cowboys squandered a 14-point lead in the fourth quarter.

Cowboys Running Back Tony Pollard leads the NFL in explosive playing speed with 14.1% of his touches for runs over 12 yards or receptions over 16 yards, according to TruMedia. Ezekiel Elliott returned to the lineup last week after a knee sprain and scored two touchdowns, while Pollard got most of the work running back.

The Daniel Jones and Giants offense will face a Dallas defense that leads the league in pressure percentage (42.7%). Saquon Barkley is still second in the NFL with 953 rushing yards despite a poor week 11 performance.

New England Patriots at Minnesota Vikings

It wouldn’t be Thanksgiving Day without football, would it? The New England Patriots take on the NFC North-leading Minnesota Vikings to close out the holiday’s three-game NFL slate. Minnesota enters the week 12 contest as a slight favorite.

The Vikings stay home over the holidays when they host the Patriots at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis on NBC on Thursday at 8:20 p.m. ET. It will be Minnesota’s sixth time playing in Minneapolis this season, a place where first-year head coach Kevin O’Connell has managed a 4-1 record. Whether the game is won with their offensive, defense or special teams, the Vikings’ seven wins without a loss in one-score games this season should indicate that a close-score game is their best chance to celebrate Thanksgiving with celebrate a win.

How the defense performs can become the difference between a Patriots win or loss. No one has managed to beat New England this season as the Patriots keep their opponents below 20 points. Matt Judon and the defense will have the challenge of trying to contain an attack from Vikings led by Kirk Cousins, Justin Jefferson and Dalvin Cook.

New England is 3-2 both at home and away. New England is 6-3-1 against the spread this season, while the unders are 6-4 in their games to date. Minnesota is 8-2, but only 4-5-1 against the spread and overs and unders are tied at 5-5.

(Photo by Ezekiel Elliott: Tom Pennington/Getty Images)

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